Pdf singularity and intelligence explosion in william hertlings a. By adrian mcfadden may 11, 2017 digital information, aka business intelligence, is what electricity was a hundred years agoa major disruptor and quantum leap forward for the value chain. The story was very well done and it left me pondering the the potential furtherest reaches of. The actual outcome of a positive intelligence explosion will likely be completely different, for example much less anthropomorphic. Facing the intelligence explosion ebook machine intelligence. Agi would be capable of recursive selfimprovement, leading to the rapid emergence of artificial superintelligence asi, the limits of which are unknown, shortly after technological singularity is achieved.
Since an adequate supply of oxygen cannot be drawn from the air, a source of oxygen must be incorporated into the explosive mixture. A domestic security intelligence service in such a country was therefore a very important tool of the government, aimed at repression and control of its own citizens. The authors were kind enough to put the main idea in the title and very early in the pieceas good predicted, given the appearance of machine intelligence, an intelligence explosion is indeed a very likely outcome page 2. Facing the intelligence explosion discussion page lesswrong 2.
In order to determine whether anyone perceives an intelligence explosion, it is necessary to clarify what intelligence actually is and what superintelligences might do, which is done in section 6. What our original drama the intelligence explosion tells us. Epub for most ereaders mobi for the amazon kindle pdf. This being so, the fact remains that all democratic states retain internal security intelligence agencies. Risks from general artificial intelligence without an. Intelligent strategies for intelligence and national security understanding the geospatial customer ecosystem the geospatial.
Facing up to the problem of consciousness, david chalmers, journal of consciousness studies 2 3, 1995. What is the point of a domestic security intelligence service in a. The technological singularityalso, simply, the singularityis a hypothetical point in time at. Which will become necessary in facing the intelligence explosion, the most important thing we can ever do, and hence this is a most important book. I thought this vid was pretty clever and it made me think of ats. These examples suggest a bare minimum for how good a positive intelligence explosion could be, in the spirit of exploratory engineering. Intelligence explosion faq machine intelligence research. Nov 24, 2011 this new series, facing the intelligence explosion, is my new attempt to rush through explaining as much material as possible. Engineering utopia facing the intelligence explosion. S ometime this century, machines will surpass human levels of intelligence and ability.
This process repeats in a positive feedback loop each successive agent more intelligent than the last and thus more able to increase the intelligence of its successor until some limit. And so facing the intelligence explosion is equal parts discourse on the cognitive science of rationality, and problems with advanced ai. All gartner research is used with gartner s permission, and was originally published as part of gartner s syndicated research service available. I dont agree with everything hereor even the central argumentbut this post was informative for me, and i think others would benefit from it. Goods thesis of the intelligence explosion states that a su. Im very grateful for this, and it made me start learning more about optimisation. The intelligence explosion, an original drama published by the guardian, is obviously a work of fiction.
In mining, the need to digitize is pressing and incontrovertible. An ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines. Roberta wohlstetter famously applied information theory, which took shape in the late 1940s around the same time as the intelligence community itself, to her analysis of. Business intelligence and the digital explosion in mining.
Posts about intelligence explosion written by arlindo oliveira. This original drama produced by the guardian is a superintelligence scifi. Why an intelligence explosion is probable springerlink. I wont edit, i wont hunt down references, and i wont try to be brief. Altogether facing the intelligence explosion is a terrific primer on the most important conversation we could be having. The standard counter to this is that super intelligence might always seem like it is well beyond our current capabilities maybe centuries in the future until, all of a sudden, it appears as the result of an uncontrollable chain reaction known as an intelligence explosion, or singularity. At that point, we might as well be dumb chimpanzees watching as those newfangled humans invent fire and farming and writing and science and guns and planes and take over the whole world. Facing the intelligence explosion is my attempt to answer those questions. Machine intelligence research institute abstract i. It is available as a paywhatyouwant package that includes the ebook in three formats. At that time, house intelligence committee chairman devin. Editorial content supplied by webroot is independent of gartner analysis. No, not godhoodhopefully, human kindness and understanding.
But the fears behind it are very real, and have led some of the biggest brains in. Intelligence explosion is a possible outcome of humanity building artificial general. Somehow, we went from being clever monkeys with stone tools, to being insanely brilliant masterminds who. We conclude with recommendations for increasing the odds of a controlled intelligence explosion relative to an uncontrolled intelligence explosion. Me too justso, but i wonder if we will ever reach the status as the android did, thats even beyond star trek. Irving john good described a notion called intelligence explosion. Once an ai system with roughly humanlevel general intelligence is created, an intelligence explosion involving the relatively rapid creation of increasingly more generally intelligent ai systems will very likely ensue, resulting in the rapid emergence of dramatically superhuman intelligences. Jack good 9 december 1916 5 april 2009 was a british mathematician who worked as a cryptologist at bletchley park with alan turing. This process repeats in a positive feedback loop each successive agent more intelligent than the last and thus more able to increase the. The impossibility of intelligence explosion hacker news.
What is it, and how can it protect you from todays advanced cyberattacks. Largely, because i got really good at independent learning. If youd like to comment on a particular chapter, please give the chapter name at top of your comment so. I had previously believed that finding a gods algorithm for. Facing the intelligence explosion is now available as an ebook. A read is counted each time someone views a publication summary such as the title, abstract, and list of authors, clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the fulltext. Events beyond the biosingularity will be stranger than sciencefiction. The impossibility of the intelligence explosion lesswrong 2. The implausibility of intelligence explosion medium. Some students will need a longer period of time to master mathematics, science, economics, world.
This page is the dedicated discussion page for facing the intelligence explosion. We should be looking at this topic more than we are because ideas for how we could control this intelligence explosion will change the. At the very least, this book will provide you with pointers to explode your own intelligence. Over the past 200,000 years since homo sapiens evolved, something extraordinary happened. This eventthe intelligence explosion will be the most important event in our history, and navigating it wisely will be the most important thing we can ever do. Feb 21, 2017 the intelligence explosion, an original drama published by the guardian, is obviously a work of fiction. Good moved to the united states where he was professor at virginia tech.
More than 150 graduates of ucfs 25yearold program in forensic science are now working in crime laboratories across the country. Intelligence explosion faq pdf version available basics 1. If machine brains one day come to surpass human brains in general intelligence, then this new superintelligence could become very powerful. The whole reason that some people predict an intelligence explosion is because intelligence is the resource that can find arbitrary ways to selfimprove, other than tuning one specific parameter. Nov 27, 2017 the basic premise of intelligence explosion that a seed ai will arise, with greaterthanhuman problem solving ability, leading to a sudden, recursive, runaway intelligence improvement. Interesting post vika, i take issue with item 3 though. As the fate of the gorillas now depends more on us humans than on the gorillas themselves, so the fate of our species then would come to depend on the actions of the machine superintelligence. And if its intelligence is skyrocketing faster than anyone could have predicted, are they about to run out of time. Being human in the age of artificial intelligence, is an enthralling journey into the future, when the developments in artificial intelligence create a new type of lifeform on earth.
Speculations concerning the first ultraintelligent machine. I would go so far as to say that intelligence is the same thing as the ability to make improvements that climb out of a local domain of attraction. Agi would be capable of recursive selfimprovement, leading to the rapid emergence of artificial superintelligence asi, the limits of which are unknown, shortly after. Metaphorically, perhaps, the impending biointelligence explosion represents an intellectual event horizon beyond which archaic humans cannot model or understand the future. Regulatory changes have allowed for more industry players to enter a sector previously dominated by military, intelligence, and. Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make, provided that the machine is docile enough to tell us how to keep it under control.
I want to live in star trek tngextreme intelligence and humanity as well as respect for other living creatures. After the second world war, good continued to work with turing on the design of computers and bayesian statistics at the university of manchester. The reason why problems like the one that the king of midas had could happen with ais is precisely their inability to generalize, therefore i would expect an artificial general intelligence to have fewer. Compassionate biology the biointelligence explosion. I could quibble with the long leadin nearly half the book goes by before ai rears its medusa head. Intelligence explosion is a term coined for describing the eventual results of work on general artificial intelligence, which theorizes that this work will lead to a singularity in artificial intelligence where an artificial superintelligence surpasses the capabilities of human cognition. Facing the intelligence explosion is now available as an.
An intelligence explosion is theoretical scenario in which an intelligent agent analyzes the processes that produce its intelligence, improves upon them, and creates a successor which does the same. A package with three popular formats is now available for immediate download. This eventthe intelligence explosionwill be the most important event. Some explosives, such as trinitrotoluene tnt, are single chemical species, but most explosives are mixtures of several ingredients. Our program enjoys an ongoing partnership with nij to increase knowledge and awareness of fire and explosion scene investigation. Explosion is a software company specializing in developer tools for artificial intelligence and natural language processing. Dec 12, 2012 intelligence, they say, cannot include moral values, and instead must encompass a perspective toward problemsolving that is entirely goaloriented. Were the makers of spacy, the leading opensource nlp library. Reagan prospered in schools without libraries, i believe that the information explosion of more recent years has made school libraries necessary.
I find the linkheavy nature of it in ebook form distracting, but i may go back and make. The intelligence explosion will ai lead us to godhood. The committees recommendations touch on these subjects, as well as on issues relating to human resource management and the creation of intelligence concepts and doctrine appropriate to the evolving national security environment. The basic premise of intelligence explosion that a seed ai will arise, with greaterthanhuman problem solving ability, leading to a sudden, recursive, runaway intelligence improvement.
If youd like to comment on a particular chapter, please give the chapter name at top of your comment so that others can more easily understand your comment. What our original drama the intelligence explosion tells. Intelligence explosion facing the intelligence explosion. Intelligence, they say, cannot include moral values, and instead must encompass a perspective toward problemsolving that is entirely goaloriented. Nov 27, 2017 the whole reason that some people predict an intelligence explosion is because intelligence is the resource that can find arbitrary ways to selfimprove, other than tuning one specific parameter. Intelligence explosion is a possible outcome of humanity building artificial general intelligence agi. Also, i joined machine intelligence research institute and discovered an enormous treasure trove of knowledge and analysis that hadnt been written down or. Guardian original drama returns with a third instalment, a superintelligence scifi. This eventthe intelligence explosionwill be the most important event in our history, and navigating it wisely will be the most important thing we can ever do. Sometime this century, machines will surpass human levels of intelligence and ability. Jan 09, 2020 posts about intelligence explosion written by arlindo oliveira. In midmarch, the cipher brief spoke with former cia acting and deputy director michael morell about the issue of unmasking the common practice of executive branch officials requestingreceiving the identities of u.
Facing the intelligence explosion by luke muehlhauser. The committees recommendations touch on these subjects, as well as on issues relating to human resource management and the creation of intelligence concepts and doctrine appropriate to. So, facing possible futures of incalculable benefits and risks, the experts are surely. Intelligence and the new national security environment. The standard counter to this is that superintelligence might always seem like it is well beyond our current capabilities maybe centuries in the future until, all of a sudden, it appears as the result of an uncontrollable chain reaction known as an intelligence explosion, or singularity. Pdf intelligence explosion quest for humankind researchgate. Intelligence explosion microeconomics machine intelligence. After a few preliminary remarks, the authors structure the article around a series of potential limitations to the intelligence explosion suggested by sander. Fire and explosion investigations and forensic analyses. Youll want to read it more than once, and recommend it to a friend. It is curious that this point is made so seldom outside of science. Were the makers of spacy, the leading opensource library for advanced nlp and prodigy, an annotation tool for radically efficient machine teaching. Other animals have stronger muscles or sharper claws, but we have cleverer brains.